MacroSnaps17 July 2026
No. 12

The world is throwing up new trade barriers faster than ever, about 3,000 a year.

New trade measures imposed worldwide each year, 2015 to 2026: restrictions (orange) against liberalising moves (slate). Restrictions have risen about fivefold since 2015 and now outnumber new openings several times over.

Why this is happening
  • Governments now put national security and resilient supply chains ahead of the cheapest possible price.
  • US-China rivalry has set off a chain of tariffs, export controls and subsidy races.
  • Once one big economy protects an industry, its rivals feel they have to answer in kind.
The take

For thirty years the world tore trade barriers down; now it is building them back. Cheap goods were the dividend of globalisation, and that dividend is going into reverse.

Source: Global Trade Alert, IMF (2026)
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