MacroSnaps6 August 2026
No. 26

Cocoa got so expensive that a tonne of it cost more than a tonne of copper.

Cocoa (orange) and copper (slate) prices, dollars per tonne, 2019 to 2026. A West African harvest crisis sent cocoa above $12,000 a tonne in 2024, briefly topping copper for the first time; copper then set its own record in 2025.

Why this is happening
  • Most of the world's cocoa comes from just two countries, Ivory Coast and Ghana, and disease and bad weather wrecked their harvests at the same time.
  • Cocoa trees take years to replace, so supply cannot bounce back quickly.
  • Once the shortage was obvious, traders piled in and drove the price far past anything seen before.
The take

A crop most people never think about can triple in price because two countries had a bad year. The world's small comforts rest on supply chains far more fragile than they look.

Source: ICE, ICCO, LME (2026)
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